Planting Seeds - March 2
As everyone continues to bask in the glory of back-to-back wins over UNC and Duke, the topic has turned to the NCAA's and where will the Terps be seeded. Bracketology boy Joe Lunardi has the Terps as a 4 seed right now. A lot will depend of course on how the final regular season game and ACC Tourney play out. I would say the ceiling, even with an ACC Tourney Title, is a 3 seed and the worst case scenario (loss to NC St, 1st round tourney loss) would be a 6 seed. Looks like Terps could actually get a bye in the ACC so hard to gauge who they will play just yet. For the purposes of this discussion, we are assuming a home win vs NC St.
- Regardless of the end of season standings, it is likely UNC, and either VT or UVA will be seeded ahead of Terps unless Terps make ACC final. VT and UVA took Terps down in reg. season and were ahead of Terps all season. Barring a 1st round collapse, UNC will still be looking at no worse than a 3 seed.
- On the national scene, the following teams would seem likely to be seeded high regardless of their conference tourney outcome: UCLA, Florida, Ohio State, Wisconsin, Kansas, Texas A&M. Memphis is there as well as long as they win their conference tourney. Pitt or Georgetown or both will be there as well. At this moment I would seed them...
1 - UCLA, Kansas, Ohio State, Wisconsin
2 - Florida, UNC, Texas A&M, Memphis
3 - UVA/VT, Pitt, Georgetown
With so many of the major conferences being top heavy (SEC, Big 10, Big 12, Big East), there probably won't be much fluctuation amongst these squads in terms of being in the top 3
- So one, maybe two slots could be open for a 3 seed. That leaves Maryland battling with the likes of Washington St., Southern Illinois, Texas, Virginia Tech and Nevada. If the Salukis win their conference tourney I think they get it for having a dominant year in a very underrated conference and a top 5 RPI. Wash St has a tough road in the Pac-10; if things go to form they would have to beat USC and UCLA and the tourney is in LA.
Texas and the stud Durant might need to beat Kansas and A&M while Nevada's loss last night to Utah State might be enough of an excuse for the committee to drop to a 5. UNLV is just one spot behind Maryland in RPI and hosts the MWC tourney but I don't buy them as a 3 seed. The Virginia squads are probably the teams the Terps are in direct competition with; the Terps have the RPI edge but are 0-3 straight up. Who advances the farthest gets seeded the highest.
I say a run to the Semi's gets the Terps a #4 seed and just making the finals puts them as a 3. While it is simply amazing we are even talking about such high seeds, I think we want to avoid a 5 seed as that is a spot where so many upsets take place.
- Georgia Tech is likely in now with that win over the Heels last night, giving the conference seven slots. Only the Big East will likely have more. FSU would probably have to make the final, if not win the ACC to get in and Clemson might as well start printing up NIT tickets
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Dr.B 
Yanik Mguaua
7 Comments:
If they win the ACC tourney, likely beating two from the group of UNC, UVA, VT, BC and Duke in the process, then they get a 2 seed. The ACC is that strong this year and the terps would then be the hotest team in the country
You are being much too generous to some of those schools.
UCLA and Ohio State are #1s, I agree there. Wiconsin and Kanas are a locks on a #2 (at least) and I'll concede, too, that Texas A&M, UVA and Memphis are locks on #3s.
Everyone else in the spaghetti still has to play their way into a top three seed. UNC and Florida, for example, are in the process of falling to a 4.
It depends a lot on how everyone is playing, but an ACC Tourney win will put the Terps at a 3 minimum and a 2 if some of the other teams falter. It might be hard for the committee to give the terps a better seed than UVA,
Dude, you are undercutting the Terps. They are staring a 2 seed in the face; hottest team in the ACC (nay, the country?) will win the tourney and when one of the other schools gets bumped off early...tada!
Even with these slides, i think Dr. B is right where he had UNC and the Gators. I would say that a 2 seed is a possibilty if everything goes their way. Of course that is a big if so a 3 is probably the max.
How the hell did this happen. just a few weeks ago we sucked more than Rosie O'Donnell. Not sure I can even rationalize a 3 seed, let alone a 2
Hey, cart before the horse people. NC St game today, hello...This is no gimme and then we have to win a 1st round ACC game, maybe two before we get to the semi's.
I think a 4 or 5 is probably where we will be unless we make the ACC finals but lets hope we get there.
Osby will need to be his power best today against Costner, Vasquez and Hayes need to control the tempo and keep the action up beat and eveyrone else just needs to keep doing what they do
Why is UNC a lock for a 2 (or even a 3 seed) if they keep falling. Duke is no lock for them this week...ok, maybe that's a stretch...but they don't make the semi's and we do, we need to be even or ahead of them
Why is UNC a lock for a 2 (or even a 3 seed) if they keep falling. Duke is no lock for them this week...ok, maybe that's a stretch...but they don't make the semi's and we do, we need to be even or ahead of them
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